Week 51 of 2019, Happy 2019 (+54%)

[Tam thom 3] - week 51 of 2019

Happy 2019, our A.I made 54% passively, win rate this year increase to 77% on average. The A.I did not have any large draw-down this year and we survive huge event like Brexit (a few times), CHF, JPY crash.. etc

FXVNOL wish you and family a Merry X’mas & a Happy New year, let hope we will have a fruitful year of 2020.

Week 50 of 2019, a “phase one” trade deal

[Tam thom 3] - week 50 of 2019

U.S. stocks rallied to fresh record highs after some uncertainty was lifted around three issues that dominated the market narrative for most of 2019: trade, Brexit and Fed policy. U.S. and China reached a “phase one” trade deal, easing fears of further trade escalation. In the U.K., prime minister Boris Johnson received a strong mandate after his party won the majority in the general elections, which reduces some of the political uncertainty as the country negotiates its exit from the European Union. Lastly, the Federal Reserve (Fed) left interest rates unchanged last week, signaling a pause through 2020.

Week 49 of 2019, Optimism for Markets in December

[Tam thom 3] - week 49 of 2019

The market, in the first week of December, made a strong case for being optimistic that the bull market continues, with stocks rising 0.9% on Friday. What a difference a year makes! In contrast, the first week of December 2018 started off much rockier. Stocks slumped as a section of the yield curve inverted, unnerving investors with recession worries. Adding to market woes, last year the November jobs market missed expectations, and trade negotiations, which had been promising, started to unravel. That first week proved prescient – later that month stocks slid almost 20% to near bear-market territory.

Week 48 of 2019, Pound (GBP) Faces Significant Election Uncertainty

Overview 47 2019

Current polls show 10 point lead for the Conservatives however we need to remember a similar showing ahead of the 2017 election which ended with Theresa May losing her majority in Parliament. The focus on Brexit will also result in a breakdown in traditional voting lines, with many constituencies potentially switching hands due to the ideological differences over Brexit.

Week 47 of 2019, Market breadth

Overview 47 2019

Market breadth – The number of stocks participating in, and contributing to, the market’s strength (the “breadth” of the rally) has risen. Currently, 75% of S&P 500 companies’ stock prices are above their 200-day moving averages, reflecting steady moves higher. This is up from 50% in May of this year, when there were growing concerns of an approaching recession. This time last year (before the December sell-off), this measure was roughly 40%

Week 46 of 2019, Is the Market Too Calm

[Tam thom 3] - week 46 of 2019

While there is no shortage of drama these days, you haven’t found much of it in the stock market recently. Four new daily record highs were reached last week, bringing 2019’s total to 221. The market has marched steadily higher as volatility has crept lower. Seven percent of the S&P 500’s 24%1 rise in 2019 has come in the past six weeks, reflecting growing optimism from progress in the trade war, better-than-expected third-quarter corporate earnings announcements, and incoming data signaling that the U.S. and global economies are not careening toward recession. Meanwhile, fluctuations in the stock market have been quite low, with the VIX index (a measure of short-term volatility) falling near the lowest (most tranquil) levels of the year.

Week 45 of 2019, Better-than-expected earnings

[Tam thom 3] - week 45 of 2019

Stocks extended their recent gains, finishing higher for the fifth straight week. Recent signs of progress on trade negotiations, along with better-than-expected corporate earnings, has helped recession fears to subside over the past month, boosting investor sentiment. With the global growth backdrop starting to stabilize, Treasury yields climbed to their highest level in three months

Week 44 of 2019, There’s Still Steam

[Tam thom 3] - week 44 of 2019

U.S. stocks climbed to fresh record highs after the October jobs report showed that the economy added more jobs than expected. The Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the third time this year and signaled a pause in lowering rates to assess economic conditions. While economic growth has slowed, as the third-quarter GDP estimate showed last week (from 2.0% to 1.9%), several risks have lessened since the Fed first lowered interest rates in July, namely the de-escalation of U.S./China trade tensions, uncertainty on the Brexit front, and weakness in manufacturing that appears contained. In our view, the U.S. economy remains on solid footing, supported by a strong labor market, still-rising corporate earnings, and low interest rates

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